Electoral lottery
Labour has lost a net 22 council seats in by-elections since July, with its average vote share in all such contests falling by more than 10 percentage points.
Labour has lost a net 22 council seats in by-elections since July, with its average vote share in all such contests falling by more than 10 percentage points.
Thirteen by-elections followed the resignation of Labour councillors after being voted into Parliament, with a net loss of nine seats.
Following a general election, especially one as dramatic as 4 July’s, council by-elections can provide evidence about voters in the new political environment.
Many councillors took the opportunity of the snap general election to resign their seats, minimising the costs to local authorities of conducting by-elections.
There is usually a sparsity of local by-elections in the weeks before the annual May contests, and 2024 is no exception.
On 2 May, 107 councils across England go to the polls, with more than 2,600 seats at stake.
At the very end of February, the Conservatives made a gain from the Liberal Democrats, their first since November 2022.
The last month produced a small crop of by-elections but two-thirds of them saw a seat change hands amid some surprising results.
The face of local government in England is undergoing incremental yet quite radical change.