A mixed picture 

Following on from their spectacular 2021 gain in the North Shropshire parliamentary by-election, Liberal Democrats in the county are thriving.   

In September, they took the Worfield division by eight votes, overturning a 50-point Conservative majority in the process, but the most recent contest was in Alveley and Claverley – where the Conservatives poll around half to three-quarter of votes. 

Liberal Democrat Colin Taylor knows this at first hand. He contested in both 2013 and 2017, his best result a 25 per cent share. His October by-election victory saw him win almost two-thirds of votes as a 47-point Conservative majority was brushed aside. 

Buckinghamshire, too, provides evidence of strong Liberal Democrat campaigning.   

The Conservatives easily won all three seats in Buckingham East in 2021, with Liberal Democrats out-polled by an Independent and Labour candidates. This time round, Anja Schaefer, Mayor of Buckingham Town Council, made light of that result, finishing 100 votes ahead of her Conservative rival. 

A more predictable gain came in the battle for Bolton’s Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill ward, newly created prior to last May’s election. The three seats divided between two Conservatives and a Liberal Democrat who topped the poll. It was odds on, therefore, that Deirdre McGeown, a local parish councillor, would strengthen her party’s grip on the ward. 

For many years, Elmbridge had been notable for the presence of local Resident Associations on the council. The 2022 elections saw increased support for Liberal Democrats who gained the most votes, a feat achieved again last May when they became the largest party on the council. Molesey East elected a Liberal Democrat then and this second win was expected. 

The Greens took two Conservative seats in Worcester, one for the city council, another for the county.  

In May, the Conservatives lost all their seats being defended on Worcester City Council. The Warndon Parish South ward was won then by the Green’s Andrew Cross and he is now joined by Katie Collier, the recent by-election winner.   

Cross, no doubt galvanised by his earlier win, gave electors a further chance to show their support, contesting the larger Warndon Parish county division. His challenge was to overtake Labour and then remove the Conservatives from a safe seat. He made light of the task, securing almost double the votes cast for his Conservative opponent. 

These wins were followed a week later with the successful defence of two seats in Burnley.  The borough council ward returned a Green last May so defeat there was unlikely. The county division seat was more difficult, however, but the party selected Burnley Group Leader Scott Cunliffe, who had missed out on the Burnley Rural seat in the last county elections. 

There was disappointment, however, when the Greens allowed Labour its only victory in Melton’s Asfordby ward. It is a puzzle why Labour ignored this ward in recent years.  Margaret Clay, the party’s winner, is the first Labour candidate on the ballot since a by-election challenge nine years ago. The Greens finished fourth and last. 

Consolation was not long in arriving. A resignation in North Somerset meant a vacancy in Wrington ward. This area is near Bristol Airport, which has submitted plans for expansion. The Liberal Democrats had won the seat before 2015 and so might have sensed an opportunity, but it was the Green’s Thomas Daw who prevailed, winning by the slender margin of 39 votes. 

There was an improbable Conservative victory in South Holland’s Spalding St Paul’s ward.  The count finished with Vanessa Browning, standing for the South Holland Independents, tied on 155 votes with Conservative, Glynis Scalese.   

After drawing lots, the returning officer gave victory to the Conservatives. Some voters may have been confused by the ballot paper. This listed Stephen Timewell, who polled 132 votes as ‘True Independent’. A search of the Electoral Commission’s website for registered names finds no results for that description. 

A second by-election in Bolton provided further evidence of the borough’s complex local politics. Fourteen candidates challenged for the three vacancies in Kearsley ward last May.  The three winners all stood for ‘One Kearsley’ with these edging out Tracey Wilkinson, representing the Farnsworth & Kearsley First Party (FKF), and a Reform UK & Bolton for Change candidate further adrift.   

One Kearsley then disbanded, with two councillors defecting to Labour and the third resigning his seat, causing the by-election. Wilkinson, a former councillor in the area, was easily elected. 

Cricket lovers may be interested to know that Matthew Engel, for many years a journalist with The Guardian and formerly an editor of the cricket bible, ‘Wisden’, was elected as an Independent to Herefordshire Council and now represents the Golden Valley South ward. 

local by-elections
Bolton, Kearsley
FKF GAIN FROM ONE KEARSLEY
43.7% over Lab
Turnout 17.8%
Bolton, Westhoughton North & Hunger Hill
LIB DEM GAIN FROM CON
12.7% over Con
Turnout 22.7%
Buckinghamshire, Buckingham East
LIB DEM GAIN FROM CON
5.6% over Con
Turnout 23.1%
Burnley, Trinity
GREEN HELD
31.6% over Lab
Turnout 15.1%
Ceredigion, Aberystwyth Penparcau
PLAID CYMRU HELD
14.4% over Lab
Turnout 23.9%
Cheltenham, Prestbury
PEOPLE AGAINST BUREAUCRACY HELD
9.2% over Green
Turnout 36.2%
Coventry, Earlsdon
LAB HELD
11.5% over Con
Turnout 27.2%
Doncaster, Rossington and Bawtry
LAB HELD
37.7% over Con
Turnout 15.4%
Elmbridge, Molesey East
LIB DEM GAIN FROM RES
3.5% over Con
Turnout 28.1%
Herefordshire, Golden Valley South
IND HELD
33.4% over Con
Turnout 34.0%
Lancashire, Burnley Central West
GREEN HELD
2.4% over Lab
Turnout 18.8%
Lewisham, Deptford
LAB HELD
54.1% over Green
Turnout 20.9%
Lincolnshire, Grantham North
CON HELD
16.3% over Ind
Turnout 23.7%
Melton, Asfordby
LAB GAIN FROM GREEN
8.4% over Con
Turnout 16.8%
North Somerset, Wrington
GREEN GAIN FROM IND
3.8% over Con
Turnout 21.8%
Powys, Crickhowell with Cwmdu and Tretower
2 LIB DEM HELD
1.9% over Lib Dem
Turnout 43.2%
Rotherham, Kilnhurst and Swinton East
LAB HELD
41.2% over Con
Turnout 20.0%
Shropshire, Alveley and Claverley
LIB DEM GAIN FROM CON
22.6% over Con
Turnout 31.6%
South Holland, Spalding St Paul’s
CON GAIN FROM SH IND
0.0% over Con
Turnout 17.5%
South Kesteven, Grantham St. Wulfram’s
CON HELD
12.0% over Ind
Turnout 26.7%
Suffolk, Woodbridge
LIB DEM HELD
18.0% over Con
Turnout 30.5%
Surrey, Horsleys
RES HELD
2.6% over Lib Dem
Turnout 28.3%
Trafford, Bucklow-St Martins
LAB HELD
40.0% over Con
Turnout 17.5%
Waltham Forest, Higham Hill
LAB HELD
40.7% over Lib Dem
Turnout 17.1%
Worcestershire, Warndon Parish
GREEN GAIN FROM CON
20.0% over Con
Turnout 30.1%
Worcester, Warndon Parish South
GREEN GAIN FROM CON
28.8% over Con
Turnout 29.9%
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